Analysis: Kyrsten Sinema’s politics may be unnecessarily moderate

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But while Democrats are lucky enough to have Democrats of any ideological persuasion representing West Virginia, they aren’t getting the best bang for their buck from cinema.

cinema, for The last few years, had a similar ideological record as Munchkin. As I mentioned earlier, Manchin’s ideological record is the best Democrats can expect from West Virginia.
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But Democrats can expect more from Arizona Democrats. It is much easier for his party to win in Arizona than it is in West Virginia.

Let’s start with what happened in last year’s presidential election. President Joe Biden wins state of Arizona 0.3 points. West Virginia, unlike Arizona, is a red state. Biden defeated the state by 39 points. This comes after Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton lost the state in 2016 by more than 40 points.
Arizona, on the other hand, is purple and chugging on the left. Biden did 4 points better than Clinton, who in 2012 did 6 points better than Barack Obama.

Part of what is happening is that Cinema thinks Arizona is a much more red state than it actually is. This is understandable because Democrats have recently started winning races statewide with regularity. Cinema became the first Democrat to win the Arizona Senate race since 1988.


However, this feat was repeated by Mark Kelly in 2020. Kelly won against basically the same opponent by a similar margin to cinema and in a difficult political environment. Biden also became the first Democrat since 1996 to win the state at the presidential level.

Beyond Kelly and Biden, Democrats Now Control in Arizona two out of five seats On the Corporation Commission of the State, the Secretary of the Office of the State and the Superintendent of the Office of Public Instruction. they also wear five out of nine US House seats.

Compare this to manchin. He is virtually the only Democrat to represent West Virginia in any statewide or federal office.

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Arizona’s electoral climate is similar to that of Georgia, which has turned even more purple in recent years. Biden won the state by almost the same amount as he won Arizona. The state recently elected censors John Osoff and Raphael Warnock to the Senate. He has nowhere to impede Biden’s agenda to the same extent.

So what else can explain the methods of cinema? this is Reported That cinema has cast former Arizona Sen. John McCain as a role model. McCain, of course, was thorn in the side of former President Donald Trump and did not always vote with his own party.
If she’s trying to imitate McCain’s mannerisms, the cinema isn’t doing a great job. McCain generally voted with his party. In his last full year in the Senate, he voted his party Party unity votes on votes more than 90% of the time (ie where at least 50% of one party voted differently than 50% of the other party). It was almost equal to him. McCain voted with his party less than median senator, but not so little.
Cinema is a completely different legislator. According to the CQ Almanac, she votes against her party more than the average MLA on party unity votes. From 2013 To 2019, he has never voted with his party more than 75%.
However there is one way in which Sinima is similar to McCain: she is troubling her party’s base. By voting the way it does, cinema can leave itself open to a primary challenge – a possibility that some liberal groups have. already seen.

And unlike Munchkin, who has easily defeated primary challenges, Sinema will not face primary voters, where less than 40% of registered Democrats call themselves liberals.

2020 primary exit polls and . According to both, Democrats in Arizona are as liberal as the national average They. In both polls more than 60% of Democrats called themselves liberals.

The bottom line is that cinema can be unnecessarily liberal for its electoral gains. Maybe it will work for him. Still, it’s possible that she is making not only Biden’s life more difficult, but her own electoral future more difficult.


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