Do the latest legal woes spell the end for Donald Trump? | First Thing

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According to political analysts and legal experts, Donald Trump’s legal woes have turned insurmountable and could tarnish the former US president’s hopes of an election-winning return.

Trump and his three adult children were yesterday accused of lying to tax collectors, lenders and insurers in a “shocking” fraud scheme that regularly misrepresented the value of their assets in order to enrich themselves.


The civil suit filed by the attorney general of New York comes after the FBI examined Trump’s sensitive government documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida, and a special grand jury in Georgia considered whether he and others had tampered with state election officials. tried to influence. After his defeat there by Joe Biden.

The former US president has repeatedly indicated that he intends to run for the White House again in 2024. But a series of criminal, civil and congressional investigations still cannot derail that bid.

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    What do the experts say? “she has done,, Told Alan Lichtman, a professor of history at American University in Washington who has accurately predicted every presidential election since 1984. “They have so much burden, so much stuff that they’re able to run again, even assuming they escape from prison, they survive bankruptcy. I’m not sure that he is about to escape from prison.”

  • Could the New York Civil Fraud Trial Bring Down the Trump Organization? Sanctions sought by Letitia James include sanctions on Trump and his children that would tear his real estate empire out of his control, writes Hugo Lowell.

Biden calls Putin’s nuclear threats ‘reckless’ in UN address

Riot police detained a protester last night to protest a mobilization in Moscow. Photo: Dmitry Serebryakov/AP

Joe Biden and allied leaders have reacted angrily to Vladimir Putin’s threats to use nuclear weapons and pledged to maintain support for Ukraine in the face of Russia’s partial mobilization and planned annexation of more Ukrainian territories.

The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, also rejected Putin’s moves to escalate the war, saying his country’s forces would continue their counter-offensive, giving Russia a breather to mobilize and dig into Ukrainian soil. Won’t give space.

The US President was speaking hours after Putin announced Russia’s first mobilization since World War II and warned that Moscow had “too many weapons to respond” to what he claimed would be on its territory. There were western threats.

Since Putin’s announcement, more than 1,300 people have been arrested in 38 Russian cities, according to the OVD-Info monitoring group. It is the biggest protest since Putin launched the offensive in February.

  • Why is Putin planning partial mobility?zen? Britain’s Defense Ministry says Russia needs manpower to continue its fight. “The trick is [in effect] There is an admission that Russia has exhausted the supply of volunteers willing to fight in Ukraine,” its daily intelligence briefing said today.

Democrats will struggle to keep control of Congress in the midterm, experts say

a view of the capitol building
‘It’s a long shot that the Democrats will get more than half.’ Photograph: Brendan McDiarmid/Reuters

Ray Fair, a professor of economics at Yale University since 1978, has been using economic data to predict US election results, writes Dominic Rush. Strictly from a numbers standpoint they have a fairly impressive record of bare-boned, usually falling within 3% of the final tally.

Sadly for Democrats – if Fair is on track again this time – the Biden administration will struggle to keep control of Congress in November’s crucial midterm elections.

Elections are noisy events and this year is no different. recent Voting shows Joe Biden is on a roll, reclaiming some of the ground previously lost during his presidency. The Democrats have passed a big law. There has been a sharp increase in women registering to vote after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade. Abortion rights prompted voters to vote in dark red Kansas. If not overall inflation, then gas prices are falling. Meanwhile, Donald Trump and the candidates he supports are in the spotlight and helping Democrats poll numbers.

But if Fair is right, we can set aside the personalities and issues at large: the economy is the sign behind the noise and Biden is still in trouble.

  • What does FAIR’s data predict? Using data from the latest analysis of the 1916 Fair shows Democrats will get 46.7% of the national vote in November – down from 51.3% in 2020 when Biden defeated Donald Trump and secured control of the House and a slim majority in the Senate.

In other news…

children receiving covid vaccine
More than 1,400 children have died from Covid in the US, and at least 533 of those deaths have occurred in children under the age of five. Photo: Justin Lane/EPA
  • According to CDC data, only about 6% of children under the age of five have received their first shot of the COVID vaccine — the lowest rate of any age demographic. Meanwhile, Biden said on Monday that the pandemic was coming to an end – a message that could result in continued hiatus.

  • Conservative activist Virginia Thomas, wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, has agreed to participate in a voluntary interview with a House panel investigating the Jan., his lawyer said. Attorney Mark Pauletta said Thomas was “eager to answer the committee’s questions”.

  • A Malaysian Defensecontractor surname fat leonardAuthorities say he has been arrested in Venezuela after escaping before sentencing in one of the biggest bribery scandals in US military history. The international search for Leonard Glenn Francis ended with his arrest on Tuesday morning.

  • A former Minneapolis police officer who pleaded guilty to a state charge of aiding in the murder of George Floyd and second-degree manslaughter was sentenced yesterday to three years in prison. Thomas Lane is already serving a two-and-a-half-year federal sentence for Floyd’s civil rights violations.

State of the day: two firms control 40% of the global commercial seed market, dominating the global food chain

syngenta logo
Syngenta is majority owned by the Chinese government through Synochem and ChemChina. Photograph: Arnd Wigman/Reuters

The research finds that the global food chain is increasingly dominated by a large number of large companies, aided by the increased use of “big data” and artificial intelligence. According to environmental-justice organization, ETC Group, only two companies control 40% of the global commercial seed market, compared to 10 companies that controlled the same proportion of the market 25 years ago. Agricultural commodity trading is similarly focused, with 10 commodity traders ruling the market for half a trillion dollars in 2020.

Don’t miss this: I love you but I don’t want to see you for the next six weeks; The case of ‘marriage sabbatical’

Is relaxation just a waiting room for divorce? Illustration: Spencer Wilson in Synergy/The Guardian

This is not a divorce, not a chance to be separated from trial or guilt-free, just a chance for husband and wives to live separately, forget all the little troubles and realize how much they miss each other. We do. At least that is the principle. The idea was coined in 1999 by Cheryl Jarvis, who envisioned a wedding break—in the style of workplace relaxation—taken to pursue your own dream. But what if you don’t have a dream or a project – what if you don’t care about hiking, and your only goal is getting away from your spouse? Is relaxation just a waiting room for divorce?

Climate probe: Denmark offers funding to poor countries for the ‘harm and harm’ of climate change

After severe floods in Sehwan, Pakistan, people displaced by the floods gather at a camp to receive food aid.
People displaced by floods gather to receive food aid at a camp after severe floods in Sehwan, Pakistan. Photo: Reuters

Youth groups in Africa are preparing to launch a series of climate demonstrations tomorrow to highlight the problem of poor countries suffering from climate breakdown after only one wealthy country stepped in with funding for the problem. Denmark became the first central government in a developed country to propose dedicated funds for “loss and damage” – which refers to the devastation of climate-related disasters that are so extreme that no protection against them is possible. No other developed countries have indicated they are likely to follow the Danish lead.

Last Thing: Kale Taste Makes Unborn Babies Moan, Research Finds

4D ultrasound images of the fetus
The first study to look at fetal facial responses to taste shows twice the crying expression for kale compared to carrots. Photograph: Fetal Taste Preference Studies/Fetal and Neonatal Research Laboratory/Durham University/PA

If the taste of kale makes you cringe at your face, you’re not alone: ​​Researchers have observed that fetuses pull the expression of crying when exposed to greens in the womb. While previous studies have suggested that our food preferences may begin before birth, the team says the research is the first to directly look at unborn babies’ response to different tastes. Researchers are now trying to trace the response of babies after birth to different tastes. “Hopefully we’ll see fewer negative reactions than if they were exposed to prenatal kale,” said one.

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