Jets vs. Texans odds, analysis and predictions for all Week 12 Sunday NFL games

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Home teams in CAPS:

New York Jets on Houston Texans (+2.5)

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Zack Wilson will start over, and his knee is 100 percent.

Will he be able to use what he learns while watching the Jets’ offense to Mike White, Josh Johnson, and Joe Flacco?

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The Texans are 5-5 against the spread despite being 2-8 straight up, but I’m allergic to points with a team that failed to cover this season at +19 and +20.5.

Sahara for the Texans to wreck a bunch of survivor pools with their win as a 10.5-point underdog in Tennessee, commemorates their 2003 Week 1 win +14 over Miami.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) over New York Giants

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While the Giants have won their last two home games versus the Raiders and Panthers, the situation now looks different as cautious hope has been replaced by serious doubt.

Daniel Jones is back in Tampa Bay on Monday night. Saxon Barkley has no burst. Jason Garrett took a hit Tuesday when he lost his offensive coordinator job, and play-calling could see a bump in creativity. But the Giants have a short week to establish a new philosophy and have to face SU and the ATS’ Hot Eagles team 3-1 in the last four, a three-point loss to the Chargers.

Zach Wilson
Zach Wilson
AP

Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengal (+4.5)

Tough back-to-back road spots for the Steelers after their narrow loss/cover at the Chargers on Sunday night. My running count has Mike Tomlin at 42-20-2 ATS as an underdog, including a 4-1 ATS this season, and Ben Roethlisberger restored some faith in the offense with a 27-point fourth quarter in Los Angeles.

Indianapolis Colts (+3) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Colts have won five of their last six games, and the loss to the Titans on some huge Carson Wentz turnovers was largely a giveaway. The dominance of Jonathan Taylor and Nyhame Hines in the ongoing game took a lot of pressure off Wentz’s shoulders. It can be hard for Bucs to fight this meat-grinder in a short week.

Carolina Panthers on Miami Dolphins (-1.5)

This short line became a favorite at the start of the week. There’s only so much to find for the Miami crime with Tua Tagovailoa. Cam Newton rising up to speed up the Joe Brady offense right now, and he has Christian McCaffrey healthy, is a rare occurrence.

Tennessee Titans over New England Patriots (+6.5)

Tennessee had failed to cover its last two games after a four-game streak of outright winnings as the underdogs. Although Titans have humiliated many star players, it remains a major betting role for them. The Titans ended Tom Brady’s Patriots career with a playoff win at Foxboro, and Mike Wrabel won’t kiss Bill Belichick’s rings the way many coaches do.

Titans coach Mike Wrabel
Titans coach Mike Wrabel
Getty Images

Atlanta Falcons (-1) on Jacksonville Jaguars

The Falcons have got some extra rest after their Thursday night beat by the Patriots last week. If Cordarell Patterson can return, he’ll give back his top dual-threat weapon to Matt Ryan and help him unlock Kyle Pitts.

Los Angeles Chargers (-3) over Denver Broncos

Although the impression is that the Chargers rarely win by a comfortable margin, they are 5-1 ATS in the six games they have won outright. I’m still looking forward to that impressive 60-minute performance, and it could be against a middling team from Denver.

Los Angeles Rams (+1) over Green Bay Packers

The Rams were 7-1 with the 49ers going to their byes before turning up in two games against the Titans. Despite public support for the Packers at home as a loss-making small favorite, the line has moved in the direction of the Rams, a sign of sharp wealth on LA.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS . on Minnesota Vikings (+3)

Although the 49ers have raced from spectacular to terrifying this season, the Vikings are always right there within a field goal in the final minutes of the game. This also makes a small spread valuable, especially when the Vikings are holding points.

Cleveland Browns (+4) on Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson is likely to be back for the Ravens, but the idea here is that the Dolphins provided some new insight into how to shut him down a few Thursdays ago. Brown is allowed in rank number 4 yards and can follow suit.

Monday

Washington football team over Seattle Seahawks (-1)

Another row that flipped favorites at the start of the week. Taylor Heinicke had been taking the ball up the field throughout the season, but suffered a recurring horror show on inside 20s. Those drives are terminating in the end zone with greater frequency of late.

Best bets: Falcons, Panthers, Brown.
Lock of the week: Falcons (6-4 locks in 2021).
Last week: 9-6 overall, 2-1 best bet.

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