Key races to watch on election night

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Many polls show that it is too close to the federal election call, but several important races can go a long way toward deciding which party will emerge victorious.

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The magic figure for securing a majority is 170 seats, but most analysts believe that is unlikely to happen.

The Liberals fell 13 seats short of the same mark in the 2019 election.


Here are some of the major parts of the country to keep a close eye on tonight.

fight for quebec

The unexpected surge of bloc Québécois is a big reason why Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ended up with a minority government last time. Once again, tonight the block’s success or failure will be a bigger story.

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Quebec has about a quarter of the seats in the House of Commons, and liberals will try to gain votes in and around Montreal. Pollsters believe there could be nine riding flips in Quebec, with the Conservatives possibly coming up with some victories as well.

Will the Liberals be defeated in Toronto?

Fierce fighting is also raging in vote-rich Ontario.

A handful of seats in Toronto are up for grabs between the Liberals and the NDP. The closest result of the night may come in a ride to Davenport. The Liberals won that race in 2019 by less than 1,500 votes.

Annie Paul, leader of the beleaguered Green Party, will fight for her political career in an attempt to win a seat at Toronto Center. This is the long-standing red riding that former finance minister Bill Morneau once had.

O’TOOLE 905 . shoot at

The so-called 905 – the heavily populated area on the outskirts of Toronto – is also important.
Conservative flats collapsed in that part of the province two years ago. If Erin O’Toole wants to become prime minister, her party will have to win in places like Mississauga, Brampton and Oakville.
Even Trudeau’s procurement minister, Anita Anand, will have to work hard for her ride to Oakville, despite her key role in bringing COVID-19 vaccines to Canada.

BC became the main battlefield

If the Liberals lose ground in Ontario, the party could potentially bridge that gap in British Columbia.

That would mean stealing rides from the NDP, the Conservatives and perhaps even the Green Party.

The Tories had grown from just nine seats in B.C. to 17 two years ago, but some surveyors believe that
O’Toole’s message is not resonating strongly in British Columbia. This means that many of those blue ridings are considered a toss-up this time around.

Will the traditional stronghold be broken?

With every ride meaning, even some traditional strongholds are worth visiting tonight.
Insiders believe that at least three seats in the Conservative province of Alberta could be in play for Trudeau.

Even the Atlantic provinces, which are usually a safe haven for liberals, could see a handful of riders changing hands.

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