Michigan now leads the nation in new COVID cases and hospitalizations accounting accounts for about one in 10 new cases in the US, even though the state represents only 3% of the country’s population.
Cases across the US have increased by 18% over the past week, but some states have seen much more dramatic increases. In Michigan, new cases have been reported extended There has been an increase of 67% and new hospitalizations by 46% in the past two weeks.
“It’s very strange,” Aaron Sousa, interim dean of the College of Human Medicine at Michigan State University, told the Granthshala.
A week or two ago, cases in the state were pretty stable at around 5,000. Then he shot up to about 8,000 in a few days. “It was amazing, the rapid growth,” Sousa said.
Now hospitals are full and patients are being treated in hallways and recovery lounges, while deaths continue to rise.
“It’s actually as bad as our last major peak in April or earlier in November-December,” Sousa said.
And what is happening in Michigan is a sign of what is likely to happen in other parts of the US, especially in states with low vaccination rates.
“I don’t think there’s anything unique about Michigan,” Adam Loring, an associate professor of infectious disease and microbiology at the University of Michigan Medical School, told the Granthshala.
Some northern states have recently seen a big increase as people moved indoors in colder climates. But as winter and holidays are approaching, other states may also witness similar dramatic surges.
“This is exactly what happened in November of last year. The timing is almost accurate, when we had the fall,” Loring said.
more than half the states, 54.8%, is now fully vaccinated, which is lower than the national average.
“The best predictor of case level is going to be your vaccination coverage,” Loring said. “Counties that have higher vaccination rates tend to have lower case rates.”
The reasons behind any increase in cases are complex. Chelsea Wuth, a public information officer with the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, told the Granthshala in an email, “However, people who have not been vaccinated are disproportionately less likely to be hospitalized and deaths due to COVID-19 in Michigan.” contribute from.” Three-quarters of recent hospitalizations and deaths were among people who had not been fully vaccinated.
“As more individuals are vaccinated, it is less likely that the virus will circulate and mutate, avoiding the development of more transmissible and vaccine-resistant variants in the future,” Wuth said.
“If you haven’t been vaccinated, you’re going to get it,” Sousa said. And “there are still a lot of people who haven’t been sick before and haven’t been vaccinated,” so the increase is likely to continue for at least a few weeks.
Experts expect that higher vaccination rates will mean there will be no more hospitalizations or deaths as a result of the surge in cases. While vaccinated people can have a successful infection, they are much less likely to become very ill or die from COVID – which also puts less strain on health systems.
In response to rising cases, Michigan last Friday recommended that all residents over the age of 2 wear a face mask indoors, as well as urging the early use of monoclonal antibodies for all people who test positive and all are eligible.
Chief Medical Executive Dr Natasha Bagdasarian said, “Covid-19 cases are high when we go on vacation, and we must do everything we can to keep our families and loved ones safe – starting with vaccinations. ” Statement,
The University of Michigan is also seeing a major outbreak of influenza, with 760 cases. informed of Since the beginning of October. Flu and other respiratory illnesses can strain hospitals in normal times; Putting COVID on top of a bad flu year can be disastrous.
“It doesn’t take a lot of cases to eliminate the hospital system,” Loring said.
It is not just about not having enough space in hospitals to treat patients. “You should have enough staff to take care of everyone,” Sousa said, including physicians, nurses, respiratory techs, phlebotomists and housekeepers. “And all those people have been working in shame for just two years.”
However, a surge in cases is not inevitable. Proven precautions can now help reduce growth.
“At the end of the day, we know what we need to do. We need people to vaccinate, we need people to wear masks and we need people to have a little space between us,” Sousa said.
Vaccination, in particular, prolongs COVID, is critical to preventing serious illness and death – and ultimately, to ending the pandemic.
“We will continue to see these increases until we build up enough immunity through vaccination or infection,” Loring said.