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Curious about what kind of winter America will see this year? The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center released its Winter Weather Outlook for the 2021-2022 season — sharing expected temperatures, rainfall and drought conditions from December to February.


Report, shared thursday, dry, warm temperatures in the south, a wetter north with a second straight year of La Nia, and dry spells likely to persist throughout the west. La Nia, a climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean that could affect weather around the world, tends to drier parts of the already drier and overcast American West and Boost the Already Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season.

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NOAA’s Prediction Center says that La Nia climate conditions are favorable for much of the south and eastern US with above-average temperatures.

The winter outlook also says that wetter than average conditions are forecast in parts of North America, primarily the Pacific Northwest, the northern Rockies, the Great Lakes, the Ohio Valley, and western Alaska.

This US Winter Outlook 2021-2022 map for temperatures shows warmer-than-average conditions over the south and most of the eastern US, while below average temperatures are favorable for Southeast Alaska and the Pacific Northwest for the Northeast.

Amid the widespread drought that persists across the western half of the country, NOAA experts said they are keeping a close eye on the Southwest region.

“The Southwest will certainly continue to be an area of ​​concern as we expect below-normal rainfall, with drought conditions persisting for most of the region,” said John Gottschak, chief of the Operational Prediction Branch at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.

Temperature Prediction for Winter 2021-2022

NOAA’s outlook says warmer-than-average conditions are likely over much of the U.S. southern level and over much of the eastern U.S., “with the greatest likelihood of higher-than-average temperatures in the Southeast.”

Meanwhile, below-average temperatures are likely over the northern plains of Southeast Alaska and the Pacific Northwest toward the east.

Small areas of the upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes have similar prospects for below, near or above-average temperatures, the outlook says.

Precipitation Forecast for Winter 2021-2022

NOAA experts say the greatest potential for wetter-than-average conditions is in the Pacific Northwest, the northern Rockies, the Great Lakes and parts of the Ohio Valley and western Alaska.

Above-average dry conditions are expected over south-central Alaska, southern California and throughout the southwest as well as the southeast.

NOAA says the forecast for the rest of the US shows similar opportunities for below, near or above-average rainfall during the winter months.

Officials say NOAA’s outlook doesn’t predict seasonal snowfall accumulation, because snow forecasters typically don’t forecast more than a week in advance.

Drought forecast for winter 2021-2022

“Severe to exceptional drought” will continue to dominate the western half of the continental US, the northern plains and the Missouri River basin, NOAA’s outlook says.

According to the forecasters, these dry conditions will persist and develop over the southwest and southern plains as well.

On a more positive note, the Pacific Northwest, Northern California, the Upper Midwest and Hawaii are most likely to experience a “drought improvement,” NOAA says.

This story was reported from Cincinnati.