One in TWELVE children in England had Covid last week as outbreak grew by a fifth, official data shows amid hopes infections may have already peaked in youngsters – but R rate rises slightly and is still above 1 

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  • The ONS estimates that some 786,300 people in England had Covid on 2 October, a 19.4% increase from the previous week
  • The virus was most prevalent among children aged 11 to 16, with 6.9% infected at any time in the previous week
  • Data from only the recent past shows that 8.1% of the age group had Covid – the equivalent of one in 12 children
  • Cases have increased among youth since returning to classes early last month
  • But data from the Department of Health and King’s College London suggested yesterday that cases in children had peaked
  • But the infection rate is still very high – about 1.5 percent of 10- to 14-year-olds are testing positive.

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According to official figures, one in 12 children in England was infected with the coronavirus on any given day of the past week, laying bare the true scale of the outbreak at school.

The Office for National Statistics estimated 786,300 people in England had the virus on 2 October, a 19.4 percent increase from the previous weekly figure.

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Separate data from the UK Health Protection Agency (HSA) today showed that the R rate may still be above one and has risen slightly to between a range of 0.9 and 1.1.

The ONS report found last week that the virus was most prevalent among children aged 11 to 16, with 6.9 percent of them estimated to be infected at some point – about one in 15 young people.

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But the most recent day’s data shows that 8.1 percent had Covid – the equivalent of one in 12 children in the age group. Cases among youth have increased since they returned to classes early last month.

Some local authorities – including those in parts of the South West, Cumbria and Northamptonshire – have brought back face masks in an effort to stem the latest surge.

But infection rates among pupils are a mixed picture, as other data suggest infections already peak among young people.

Health department data shows that for the first time since the start of the new term, there has been a decline in the number of primary and secondary-aged children testing positive till October 2. And data from the country’s largest symptom-tracking app also suggested cases peaked in children.

But the infection rate is still very high – around 1.5 per cent of youth aged 10 to 14 have tested positive only in the last week.

The R rate was predicted to be 0.9 to 1.1 in both London and the North West.  Experts estimate it may be slightly higher - between 0.9 and 1.2 - in the East, Midlands, South East and South West of England.  And this figure was set at 1.0 to 1.1 in the North East and Yorkshire.

The R rate was predicted to be 0.9 to 1.1 in both London and the North West. Experts estimate it may be slightly higher – between 0.9 and 1.2 – in the East, Midlands, South East and South West of England. And this figure was set at 1.0 to 1.1 in the North East and Yorkshire.

Data from the UK Health Protection Agency (HSA) today showed that the R rate may still be above one and has increased slightly between a range of 0.9 and 1.1.

Data from the UK Health Protection Agency (HSA) today showed that the R rate may still be above one and has increased slightly between a range of 0.9 and 1.1.

This graph shows the estimated daily percentage test positive among different age groups in England from 22 August to 2 October.  Infection rates across the country are a mixed picture, with cases rising among children ages two to 11—35 to 49—the older and over 70, those between the ages of 12 and 34, and those aged 50 to 69. living flat among people of the age of

This graph shows the estimated daily percentage test positive among different age groups in England from 22 August to 2 October. Infection rates across the country are a mixed picture, with cases rising among children ages two to 11—35 to 49—the older and over 70, those between the ages of 12 and 34, and those aged 50 to 69. living flat among people of the age of

The graph shows ONS estimates for the proportion of people who tested positive in England, Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland from 7 August to 2 October.  In the most recent week, cases rose by a fifth in England, remaining flat in Wales and falling in the northern.  Ireland and Scotland

The graph shows ONS estimates for the proportion of people who tested positive in England, Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland from 7 August to 2 October. In the most recent week, cases rose by a fifth in England, remaining flat in Wales and falling in the northern. Ireland and Scotland

The ONS said the infection rate among secondary school students is estimated to increase from 4.6 percent in the week to September 25 to 6.9 percent in the most recent week.

Meanwhile, the outbreak increased from 0.8 to 1.2 percent among 35- to 49-year-olds. Cases also increased from 0.5 to 0.6 percent in their 70s and from 2.6 to 2.8 percent among youth aged two to 10 years.

But infections fell 0.3 percent in 12- to 24-year-olds and 0.1 percent in the 25- to 34-year-old group.

UK daily Covid cases hit another month high

Daily coronavirus cases in the UK have risen again and the number of patients hospitalized with the virus has started to rise again – but deaths are falling.

The health department recorded 40,701 infections nationwide in the last 24 hours, an increase of nearly 12 per cent from the previous week. This is the first time in a month that cases have risen above 40,000 in a single day.

Another 122 Covid deaths were recorded today, a drop of 11 per cent from last Thursday’s figure. This is the 11th day in a row that there has been a decrease in deaths week after week.

The latest hospital data also shows that there were 681 Covid admissions on October 3, a small increase of 4 per cent over the previous week’s numbers.

The death and hospital numbers are a few weeks behind both cases because of the time it takes for the infection to turn into a serious illness.

As a week of falling cases witnessed yesterday, it is becoming increasingly difficult to predict the trajectory of the pandemic.

Separate data from the country’s largest symptom-tracking study suggested today that the number of Britons who fall ill with Covid every day has risen to the highest level since January.

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Meanwhile, cases in England jumped to fifth place. In the week till October 2, about one in 70 people had Covid, up from one in 85 last week.

At the peak of the second wave in early January, about one in 50 was estimated to have the coronavirus.

In Wales, about one in 55 people were estimated to have covid. The figure is unchanged from last week, the highest level since this week till December 23.

In Northern Ireland, the latest estimate is one in 130, down from one in 65 last week.

For Scotland, the ONS estimates that one in 60 people had Covid in the week to 2 October, up from one in 55 the previous week.

Across England, the percentage of infected people is projected to rise in all regions except the East, where…

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