US Covid-19 rates are declining, but colder weather could mean the Delta wave still has months to go, expert says

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“We still have a few months to go until this delta wave spreads across the country in a regional fashion, and we’re dealing with it,” said Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former director of the US Food and Drug Administration.

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“You are starting to see a spurt in cases in colder parts of the country and as soon as people are taken indoors without masks, you will start seeing cases picking up,” he said.

Nationally, the average daily rate of cases, hospitalizations and deaths from COVID-19 is declining. In the past week, the daily average number of infections has fallen by more than 15,000 to more than 86,000, and an average of 200 fewer people are dying daily. Data from Johns Hopkins University.

Yet, according to JHU data, an average of about 1,500 people died every day in the last week of Covid-19.


Gottlieb told Granthshala that most of the national reforms can be attributed to southern states coming out of the worst kind of boom. But not all sectors perform so well. He said the numbers are rising in the West and Midwest and it is still not clear how much of an impact it will have in the Northeast.

Gottlieb predicts that its worst will end in much of the country around Thanksgiving and the level of spread will subside around Christmas, but not all health officials are so sure.

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“I’m not sure we can predict at this point in time that we’re not going to see a winter boom,” said Granthshala medical analyst Dr. Lena Wayne. “I really think it’s too early for us to celebrate and say that the worst is behind us.”

Before that celebration, the US needs to keep the trajectory of cases, hospitalizations and deaths low, a feat that depends on getting more people vaccinated, Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday.

“We have about 68 million people in this country who are eligible to be vaccinated, who haven’t been vaccinated yet,” said the director of the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases. “We need a huge proportion of unvaccinated people who have to be vaccinated and then we can be absolutely sure that if we can do that, you won’t see a resurgence.”

“It really depends on us and our ability to rise to the occasion and get people vaccinated,” Fauci said.

Vaccines are key to speeding through the pandemic

Gottlieb said on Monday that vaccines, in addition to other tools such as testing, would help bring the COVID-19 pandemic into its endemic phase in the US.

When a virus becomes endemic, it remains a constant threat of infection but does not cause a large number of cases with severe illness and death.

“The reason we’re going to go through this is because we’re going to accelerate our way through this pandemic with this virus in an endemic phase,” Granthshala’s Chris Cuomo said.

“If you look at the past epidemics, they have lasted upwards of five years. This pandemic probably won’t last that long for the West,” he said.

Gottlieb said treatments and testing are also important, but that vaccines are “an important part” of fighting the pandemic.

“The fact that we can build a wall of immunity through vaccination, and not just infect the population at large, is how we can accelerate our way from an epidemic with this virus to an endemic phase.” where we can expect. Bay,” Gottlieb said.

Meanwhile, Pfizer and BioNTech said last week that they are seeking emergency use authorization for a vaccine for children under the age of 5.

Experts said that if approved, the increased access would benefit the health of young children and the communities they live in.

“We’re going to be completely dependent on vaccinations for babies, young children, to increase immune protection,” Wayne said.

Hospital workers don personal protective equipment before entering the room of a COVID-19 patient at Northwestern Medicine Lake Forest Hospital ICU in Illinois.

Vaccines work, says Fauci

As part of a campaign to increase vaccination, many health experts are calling for mandates in schools, workplaces and businesses.

Fauci told Granthshala’s Wolf Blitzer that the federal government is trying to persuade people to get vaccinated on their own, but some may be required to do so.

Covid-19 Vaccine Works, Says Dr. Anthony Fauci

“We’re obviously trying very hard,” Fauci said. Fauci said, “We try and try to get the credible messengers out there and try and steer it away from an ideological or political statement, get back into the realm of pure public health and try to convince people. “

“I mean, we don’t like telling people what they need to do with regards to vaccines. But we know the mandate works.”

But while many institutions have decided to make vaccines mandatory for their students, staff and customers, leaders in some states are less willing.

On Monday, Greg Abbott of Texas Gov. issued an executive order barring any institution from requiring individuals to vaccinate.

“The COVID-19 vaccine is safe, effective and our best defense against the virus, but it should be voluntary and never forced,” Abbott said.

Granthshala’s Virginia Langmead, Jamie Gumbrecht, Maggie Fox and Jennifer Selva contributed to this report.


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