‘We are not out of the woods yet.’ Expert expects US Covid-19 cases to climb in the coming weeks

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“We are not out of the woods and I fully expect that cases across the country will rise again in the coming weeks and months,” said Dr Megan Rainey, associate dean of the School of Public Health at Brown University.

During the past week, the seven-day average of new cases has dropped by more than 20,000, according to figures of around 130,000 cases a day. Johns Hopkins University. Rainey told Granthshala on Wednesday that most of the decline lies with states that saw large numbers of delta variant cases early, such as Florida and Mississippi, coming down from their peaks.
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Last week’s forecast published on 15 September predicted hospitalizations for the first time since the 23 June forecast. This week’s forecast predicts 4,600 to 11,800 new Covid-19 hospitalizations are likely on October 18.

But the South could still see more cases, and there could be a surge in the Northeast as well, Rainey said. And historically, more cases have been post-hospitalization – a looming prospect for many hospitals that are already inundated.

According to a press release from Governor Jim Justice, West Virginia has reached a record 1,000 Covid-19 hospitalizations for the first time. And nationwide, about 80% of ICU beds are in use – more than a quarter taken up by Covid-19 patients, according to Department of Health and Human Services.
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The current pace of vaccination has reached its slowest pace in two months, according to CDC data, despite calls from health care professionals to the public to keep hospitalizations and death rates down.

“For most of us, if you get your vaccines, you’re not going to die,” Rainey said. “As the disease spreads, it spreads throughout the community. That makes those more vulnerable more likely to catch it.”

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Booster EUA could extend to younger population, says former FDA commissioner

On Wednesday, the US Food and Drug Administration announced an emergency use for Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine booster for people 65 and older, people at high risk of serious illness and those whose jobs put them at risk of infection. granted authorization.

“Today’s action demonstrates that the science and currently available data continue to guide the FDA’s decision-making for COVID-19 vaccines during this pandemic,” FDA Acting Commissioner Dr. Janet Woodcock said in a statement.

A former FDA commissioner thinks the age group may be expanding too soon.

“I suspect what is going to happen is we will continue to collect data on this group, people 65 and over and others who have been qualified, and eventually the agency may walk down the authority for younger people. , which depends on what they learn. The data is set here in the United States,” Dr. Scott Gottlieb told Granthshala.

Gottlieb said CDC vaccine advisors will meet again on Thursday to explain the FDA’s authorization, which may apply to a “broad” portion of the population.

“This could include many people who are at high risk of a poor outcome from COVID, because they are more likely to be exposed to the disease – that they are working in occupations that put them at risk . contracting the disease as well.”

Some schools take preventive measures, others dial them back

Another consideration in managing the virus is the return of children to individual learning, which schools are handling differently.

The least vaccinated states have 4 times the death rate of COVID-19 than most vaccinated states

Some schools have intensified Covid-19 preventive measures as more students have been infected across the country.

In South Carolina, the Charleston County School District began fully enforcing its mask mandate on Wednesday, according to CCSD communications director Andy Pruitt — and as a result, many students were sent home for not complying.

He said students who do not come to school following the new policy will learn virtually until at least October 15, although they are welcome to return to class wearing masks.

Elsewhere, precautions are being relaxed.

In Florida, Governor Ron DeSantis announced a revised rule for the school year allowing parents to send asymptomatic children exposed to COVID-19 back to the classroom.

He said the policy – which some teachers opposed – recognizes that leaving out healthy students is “incredibly harmful” to students’ educational advancement and disruptive to families.

Granthshala’s Naomi Thomas, Jen Selva, Lauren Mascarenhas, Maggie Fox, Liam Reilly, Rebekah Rees and Leyla Santiago contributed to this report.

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Credit : www.cnn.com

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