England’s top doctor has warned the health service will face an “extraordinarily difficult” winter as demand pressures mount on the NHS.
Speaking at the Royal College of GP’s annual conference in Liverpool today, England’s chief medical officer Chris Whitty explained the “long order” facing the NHS in the coming months.
He said it was an “impossible dream” to go through the winter without any COVID pressure on the NHS and warned that the country was not far from a truly dire situation.
their comments come Granthshala It was reported yesterday that a patient waited 13 hours in the back of an ambulance as hospitals across the country took emergency measures to deal with record levels of demand.
New NHS figures today show that around one million 999 calls were made in September and A&E units have seen their busiest September ever.
Addressing the conference, Prof Whitty said: “Winter is going to be exceptionally difficult for the NHS, I’m sorry” and added that “unfortunately normal practice is going to be absolutely at the fore. “
He said that would be the reality “whether we have a relatively small but non-trivial amount of COVID, or whether we actually have a further increase in winter.”
Although he said the exact modeling was uncertain, he was confident that the dire conditions he faced last winter would not occur, describing the “top end risk” for the country much less than previously thought.
But he warned that the number of COVID-19 could still rise, saying: “We are only two to three times far from the really serious pressure on the NHS, and it is already serious, but it is really too much to deal with. will be difficult.
“So the margin of error is quite small. Zero Covid this winter is a completely impossible dream, except in the minds of some people, but it is an impossible dream, let me be clear about it.”
He said officials were hoping they could keep the numbers at a “relatively low level,” but added that there were other dangers, such as a resurgence of the flu.
A lot of people still weren’t meeting as many other people as they were a normal two years. We could have a flu vaccine that doesn’t match the flu very well, because there isn’t enough flu spreading in the Southern Hemisphere to cure it.”
He said heart disease and normal winter pressure from slips, trips and falls were spreading, as well as other serious infections.
“If you take them all on top of each other and then you add up to the fact that there’s no doubt that we’re seeing, as we knew from the beginning, those would be the people who were going to see doctors. late, come later in the stage of their illness, and therefore more seriously ill.
“The fact that we have to catch up on things like screening, and we have to keep up with the pace of vaccination. When you add up all of them that’s an extraordinarily tall order.”
But he said the country is in a better position because of the actions of GPs and other health professionals.
“We are certainly not out of the woods yet. But where would we be if common practice had not done what it would have been catastrophically worse.”
Credit: www.independent.co.uk /