As November draws to a close and temperatures begin to drop, the thought of many Britons is inevitably turning to Christmas and whether the country will finally be able to see the imaginary blanket of snow we promise ourselves over a million greeting cards every year. do, but that rarely actually happens.
Our obsession with the phenomenon can’t be blamed solely on Charles Dickens, who memorably painted Snowy Christmases The Pickwick Papers and “A Christmas Carol”, as it was a regular occurrence between 1550 and 1850, when the UK was in the grip of a “Little Ice Age” and temperatures were so low that it was still possible to hold a “Frost Fair”. The frozen surface of the River Thames in London by the end of the winter of 1813/14.
Bing Crosby’s famous song “White Christmas” from the 1954 film of the same name was first moaned by the first American crooner holiday Inn, has undeniably been instrumental in establishing this idea within the popular imagination, the association of yearning for winter snow with sadness at the loss of one’s youth is a theme as uniquely poignant as it is universal.
So what about our prospects for 2021?
Well, the latest forecast from the Met Office indicates that Arctic winds could drive temperatures below zero in southern England next week, which in turn could bring early snow, a promising omen.
Meanwhile, Scotland could see the white stuff begin to fall on higher ground at least this Thursday.
“Several shots of arctic air are on their way to the UK this weekend as the jet stream brings very cold and wet weather to the south,” the organization tweeted. “Strong winds may bring some disruption through the weekend and snow is possible in places.”
As far as the White Christmas is concerned, it is too early to start making predictions with any faith, but interestingly, Mirror reports that uncertainty currently reigns to the extent that the Met Office and the BBC are said to “in battle” On this issue, therefore, their respective forecasts are conflicting.
While the former is predicting only mild weather months “corresponding to a warmer climate”, the latter, which draws its information from the private contractor Data Transmission Network, says the UK is on the verge of a deepening cold.
“It’s a meteorological catastrophe with huge disagreements over what will happen in the coming months,” former weatherman John Hammond, who has worked for both sides, told the tabloid.
“They are completely different forecasts and both may not be correct. This has huge implications for clients such as government, the energy sector, the media and a wide range of other industries. Back-pedaling one of the big boys Who will blink first?”
The fact is that the weather on Christmas Day has been incredibly variable over the decades, with the coldest temperature ever recorded in the British Isles, an astonishing -18.3C, which hit Gainford in Durham in 1878, according to meteorological office,
In contrast, the warmest temperature was positively 15.6C, noted in 1920 in Killarton, Devon.
The deepest snow ever seen on Christmas morning was 47cm in 1981 at Kindrogan in Perthshire, Scotland.
As the Met Office indicated in its most recent announcement on this question, climate change means higher temperatures on land and sea, which would suggest that the chances of a White Christmas in Britain are now less in the 21st century.
but it does offer base for hope: “The natural variability of the weather will not prevent future cold, snowy winters. In fact, there was only one year (1980) between 1971 and 1992 in terms of widespread hail/snow fall across the UK on Christmas Day, compared to six such occasions in the years 1993 to 2004.
The yardstick for deciding whether a White Christmas has occurred used to be a single snowfall at the Met Office operations center in London, but service was moved to Exeter in September 2006, the event now officially confirmed. A single snowfall has been observed at any point at any of the 12 major UK airports within 24 hours of 25 December.
Technically, the last White Christmas in the UK occurred on 25 December 2017, when 11 per cent of British weather stations reported snow falling, even though none of them settled on land.
We saw snowstorms on the ground in 2015, but the last really significant and widespread deluge came in 2010, the coldest December in a century, when 83 percent of weather stations reported flakes on the sidewalk.
Bookmaker William Hill, based on his calculations on Xacta Weather information, says that Leeds-Bradford Airport, Britain’s highest at 700 feet above sea level, is along with Edinburgh and Glasgow the best chances of snow on Christmas Day. is, and is Currently 3/1 . is offering odds of for all three places.
Anticipating the coldest winter since 2010, the bookmaker says the chances of snowfall in Liverpool are now 7/2 and 4/1 for Newcastle, Birmingham and Manchester.
Belfast is on 9/2, London City Airport is on 6/1 while Dublin, Bristol and Cardiff are on 8/1.
William Hill spokesman Rupert Adams said: “This latest cold snap appears to have come at the right time and is part of a larger narrative that is expected to hold up well until the big day.
“The strongest La Nia weather event since 2010 should ensure a much cooler than normal winter. And with each passing week, the case for White Christmas becomes more solid.”
Also offering the odds on Winter Wonderland in 2021 is Ladbrokes, whose spokesman Alex Apaty said: “A lot of punters will be dreaming of …
Credit: www.independent.co.uk /