Winners and losers of the 2021 election

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Imelda Marcos, former First Lady of the Philippines and a successful politician in her own right, is believed to have once said that “win or lose, we go shopping after the election.” In Canada, we do it differently.

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Our politicians go to the polls with our money to buy votes, and the bill comes right after the votes are counted.

This time, the Conservative Party of Canada promised $51 billion in new spending over five years, the Liberals promised another $78 billion, and the NDP’s quixotic buying spree exceeded $200 billion. Which leads me to the first entry on my inaugural (and likely never repeated) list of Canadian federal election winners and losers.

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Overthrown: Any person under 35 years of age. If you look at what Spectator editor Fraser Nelson called “acetocracy“—that is, if you don’t already have a home or are hotly incubating a nest egg in an investment account—sorry, you’re out of luck. You’ll pay to keep boomers the way they’re accustomed to for the rest of their lives, and after a long time, even inflation and rising interest rates mean life’s worth A similar quality would never be out of reach. You.

the winner: Were there any winners? Really? Sure, there were 338 individual winners, but that happens in every election. In his victory speech, Trudeau said he had listened to the people and “you don’t want us to talk about the election anymore.” This makes the 2021 election a pretty pricey focus group to learn something that a trip to any local coffee shop could tell him. We all would have been better served if the prime minister had just given $20 to each member of the electorate and took five weeks off. But while others have declared this loser’s electionI am determined to dig deep and find some winners amidst the electoral hurdles.

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Loser: Elizabeth Mayhew

Ottawa’s favorite Cookie Auntie won her seat, but her party was dropped. The scale of a political leader is not just what they do in office, but how they manage a successful transition. May failed on both counts.

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The Green Party’s vote share in its last election as leader was lower than in its previous election, and in the middle two elections, the party voted less than former leader Jim Harris in 2006. In this election, her successor, Annie Paul, had to fight the opposition, her own party and May’s refusal to exit gracefully.

Unsurprisingly, Paul lost badly, although his party won two seats (as of the time of writing). Paul can be blamed for contesting an invincible seat where she’s already lost twice, but the rest of Green’s fall is for someone who’s controlled it for more than a decade and still holds the party. The most public face of

Winner: Andrew Scheer

Amid the general media euphoria over the end of Andrew Scheer’s leadership of the Conservative Party in 2019, it was easy to overlook the fact that he increased his party’s seat tally from 95 to 121 and defeated Justin Trudeau in the popular vote to defeat the Liberals. left back. minority government. In this most recent election, O’Toole performed within the margin of error of Scheer’s campaign, as well as winning the popular vote.

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Perhaps it’s a stretch to declare either leader the winner when both clearly lost, but at least some of the media’s blatant respect for O’Toole on election night in 2021 retroactively applied to Scheer as well. should be done.

The Loser: Democratic Reform

The unchecked outbreak of democracy that saw the People’s Party of Canada rise to more than five percent nationally – citing the usual threshold to qualify for seats in parliament under proportional representation – would mean that, Kitsilano From Rosedale on the couch of swoon, many champions of election reform will reconsider their former enthusiasm. Meanwhile, the Liberals’ ability to form a government again with only 32 percent of the vote will further dampen their enthusiasm for change.

Winner: Communist Party of China

I won’t be so rude as to suggest that the Chinese Communist Party was working to help Justin Trudeau win re-election, but I will say this: he worked hard to make sure O’Toole lost . terry glavin have documented How Chinese social-media platforms WeChat and Weixin were subjected to an organized propaganda campaign by anonymous accounts targeting Erin O’Toole and the Conservatives, spreading baseless rumors that it was registering Chinese citizens as foreign agents and will shut down the social. media platform. The state-run Granthshala Times also warned of the unspecified.counter attackO’Toole was to win if against Canada. With Trudeau re-elected, China’s lobby will stretch cork from Beijing to Bay Street.

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Loser: Jagmeet Singh

While election night commentators praised his campaign to increase the NDP’s representation by two or three seats, the party’s share of the vote barely waned. The NDP’s seat count and its vote share are well behind the 2011 highs under Jack Layton, but also well behind the 2015 votes under Tom Mulcair and 1988 under Ed Broadbent. Singh may be the most popular of the party’s leaders, but a small number of Canadians consider him a serious candidate for prime minister. The NDP has shown that it can win provincial elections in individual provinces such as BC, Saskatchewan and Nova Scotia, but if they are serious about winning at the federal level, they must abandon their mindless Rolex revolutionary and choose a liberal and spotless leader. Is required. John Horgan or Gary Doerr’s mold. Or, of course, the party can dance from defeat to defeat, buoyed by moral superiority and free from the weight of expectations of anything better than fourth place.

Winner: Media

A second moderate minority means, at least in the medium term, instability, uncertainty, shadow leadership races and a leaky caucus. It’s a dream scenario for content-hungry newspaper columnists, TV producers, and pundits: an addition of fodder for tongue-piercing panels and chin-crashing columns and a chance to do it again in a year or two, When parties have shopping bills, of course, will be even higher. They are lucky! poor U.S.

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And so, we end the 2021 election where we started it, but poor, grumpy and more divided. I’m afraid this practice has changed my mind. The cynics are right: tonight, we’re all losers.

Howard Anglin was senior adviser on legal affairs and policy and deputy chief of staff to former Prime Minister Stephen Harper. He is a postgraduate researcher in constitutional law…

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